Here is an update concerning the potential for tropical cyclone development in the southwest Gulf over the next few days:
Changes from previous update: The chance of development over the next 2 days has increased.
Overview:
There is a HIGH (80%) chance of tropical cyclone development over the next 2 days.
- This system is forecast to move generally eastward and then northward and could bring some impacts to the northern Gulf coast in the next 4 to 6 days (generally Friday through Sunday).
- Interests along the northern Gulf coast should monitor the progress of this system.
Confidence:
- Confidence in the development of a tropical depression or storm in the southwest Gulf over the next 2 days continues to increase.
- Confidence is gradually increasing that this system will bring impacts to the northern Gulf Coast, but extent and timing of impacts to the local area remain uncertain.
Impacts: Specific impacts will depend on the exact track and intensity of this system. However, there is a chance it will bring a multi-hazard threat to the local area in 4 to 6 days (generally Friday through Sunday). More details will be provided as forecast confidence increases.