Tropical System Forecast: July 15, 2025

Tangipahoa Parish Emergency Operations Center continues to monitor the possible development of the tropical cyclone. 

Main Takeaways:

  • There is a medium (40%) chance of tropical cyclone development in the northern Gulf late this week.
  • Regardless of development, the system forecast to move through the gulf will bring multiple rounds of heavy rain during the Wed-Sun time frame, with the greatest threat Thursday and Friday.
  • High rainfall rates are likely to overwhelm drainage capacity at times, resulting in street flooding and at least a localized flash flooding threat.
  • Areas that see the most rain could experience more significant flash flooding, especially if there aren’t sufficient breaks between rounds of heavy rain to allow drainage to catch up.
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