Here is an update concerning the risk of severe weather overnight Sunday night into Monday:
Information about T-Storm Threat Today/Tonight (Friday/Friday Night):
- We’ll continue to monitor thunderstorm development to our south/west today, which is expected to build into our western/central areas later this afternoon and evening and tonight. Currently, the risk for severe storms appears minimal, as confidence in coverage remains low. However, if that changes (or the risk expands east into our area from central/western LA), we’ll send additional email updates.
Overview:
WHAT:
- A Marginal to Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms.
WHEN:
- Primarily after midnight Sunday night into Monday Morning, potentially early/mid afternoon.
WHERE:
- The northern 2/3rds of the area, especially areas near/north of Baton Rouge to Tylertown.
CONFIDENCE:
- There is an overall LOW to MEDIUM confidence in regards to storm coverage, timing and intensity.
- Timing may be adjusted in later updates as forecast details become clearer and confidence increases.
Impacts:
The main threats associated with any severe storms will be:
Damaging Winds:
- Severe thunderstorms will be capable of wind gusts greater than 60 mph that could lead to downed trees or powerlines.
Large Hail:
- Severe thunderstorms will be capable of producing large hail of up to 1 inch in diameter.
Isolated Tornadoes:
- A few tornadoes cannot be ruled out.
Rainfall:
- In addition to the severe weather threat, intense rain rates from heavy rainfall could lead to isolated areas of flash flooding, mainly in low-lying or poor drainage areas.
- Rainfall totals will vary from low-end amounts of around 0.25 to 0.75 with isolated areas of higher amounts up to around 1 inch.
