Changes from the previous update:
- The threat of severe weather has not changed, nor has the area of greatest threat.
- A Wind Advisory has been issued for all of South Mississippi and southeast Louisiana through 6 PM CST this evening.
WHAT: MARGINAL RISK to SLIGHT RISK of Severe Weather
WHEN: Mainly during the afternoon and early evening between noon and 10 pm CST, although a few storms could develop late morning.
WHERE: Areas generally along and north of the Interstate 10 corridor, with the greatest threat across southwest Mississippi and the adjacent southeast Louisiana parishes.
CONFIDENCE: We are confident there will be thunderstorms across the area. We have low to moderate confidence that a few of the storms could become severe, especially over southwest Mississippi.
The main threats associated with any severe storms will be:
- Wind gusts greater than 60 mph will be the main threat and could damage trees and powerlines.
- Large hail and one or two tornadoes cannot be ruled out. The tornado threat will gradually diminish during the afternoon hours.
- Generally, less than 1 inch of rain is forecast, but locally higher amounts could still lead to ponding of water in low-lying areas and areas of poor drainage.
Additional impacts outside of the severe weather threat include:
- Gusty winds during the daylight hours today. Sustained south winds of 20-30 mph are expected. Gusts in excess of 40 mph likely, possibly as strong as 50 mph across southwest Mississippi and the Baton Rouge metro area.
- Higher than normal tides are expected to gradually diminish later today along southeast-facing shores east of the Mississippi River.